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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are massive underdogs in this week's contest, implying much more of a focus on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 136.5 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • Dalton Schultz has run a route on 77.9% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being predicted in this game) usually cause decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Texans grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year.
  • Dalton Schultz's 27.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 41.0 rate.
  • Dalton Schultz's 61.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this year marks a noteable decline in his pass-catching ability over last year's 70.0% mark.
  • Dalton Schultz's 5.9 adjusted yards per target this year represents a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last year's 7.4 mark.

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