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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Miami Dolphins

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Houston Texans as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Texans to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 26.66 seconds per snap.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The leading projections forecast Dalton Schultz to total 6.0 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.

Dalton Schultz has accumulated a massive 40.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Texans grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

Dalton Schultz's 30.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates a meaningful decline in his receiving proficiency over last season's 41.0 figure.

Dalton Schultz's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 70.0% to 62.5%.

Dalton Schultz's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 6.09 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.40 rate last year.

The Dolphins pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (73.2%) vs. tight ends this year (73.2%).

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