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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Texans have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Dalton Schultz has run a route on 77.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.

The model projects Dalton Schultz to total 5.1 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.

When it comes to air yards, Dalton Schultz grades out in the lofty 94th percentile among tight ends this year, accruing a staggering 43.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 8-point advantage, the Texans are a massive favorite in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their normal approach.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have only 127.5 plays on offense called: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.0 per game) this year.

The Houston offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Dalton Schultz has totaled many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (29.0) this year than he did last year (41.0).

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