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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to pass on 59.1% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 129.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Houston Texans have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
  • The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Houston offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Dalton Schultz's 25.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents a material drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 41.0 rate.
  • Dalton Schultz's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 70.0% to 56.7%.
  • Dalton Schultz's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a mere 5.10 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.40 rate last season.
  • With a feeble 3.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (18th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz rates among the best TEs in the pass game in football in the open field.

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