Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 10, 2024 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Texans to pass on 59.1% of their plays: the 7th-highest clip among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 129.4 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Houston Texans have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in football (39.9 per game) this year.

Favors Under

The Houston offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game stats across the board.
Dalton Schultz's 25.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year represents a material drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 41.0 rate.
Dalton Schultz's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 70.0% to 56.7%.
Dalton Schultz's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a mere 5.10 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.40 rate last season.
With a feeble 3.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (18th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz rates among the best TEs in the pass game in football in the open field.