Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Houston Texans · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 6:41 PM EST

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Houston Texans this year (a staggering 61.7 per game on average).
The model projects Dalton Schultz to total 5.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Dalton Schultz has totaled a whopping 45.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Dalton Schultz's 36.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 90th percentile for TEs.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Houston Texans offensive gameplan to lean 2.1% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik now calling the plays.
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Texans are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Houston Texans to pass on 53.0% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
Dalton Schultz rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among TEs, hauling in a measly 64.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 21st percentile.