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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 137.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Texans this year (a whopping 62.8 per game on average).

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The projections expect Dalton Schultz to garner 5.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile among TEs.

Dalton Schultz has notched a staggering 42.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Texans have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

At the present time, the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (57.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Texans.

Dalton Schultz's 33.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 39.7.

Dalton Schultz's 30.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year indicates a a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 38.0 mark.

With a poor 66.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (24th percentile) this year, Dalton Schultz has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends.

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