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Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-135/+105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ +105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game's line indicates an extreme passing game script for the Texans, who are giant -9.5-point underdogs.Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Texans are predicted by the predictive model to run 67.9 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.The Baltimore Ravens defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year.Dalton Schultz's 71.7% Snap% this year signifies a remarkable drop-off in his offensive usage over last year's 83.6% mark.Our trusted projections expect Dalton Schultz to garner 5.7 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Dalton Schultz profiles as one of the weakest TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.75 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 25th percentile.The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has shown strong efficiency against TEs this year, giving up 7.09 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.This year, the imposing Ravens pass defense has conceded the 8th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a paltry 4.2 YAC.As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in football.
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