Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Houston Texans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Dalton Schultz has run a route on 80.2% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to accrue 5.1 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
Dalton Schultz has compiled a monstrous 41.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 92nd percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The Houston Texans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Houston Texans as the 5th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Houston Texans O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Dalton Schultz has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football among tight ends, completing just 63.9% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 10th percentile.