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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Texans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 136.0 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Dalton Schultz to notch 5.8 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

When talking about air yards, Dalton Schultz grades out in the towering 94th percentile among TEs this year, totaling a whopping 47.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Houston Texans to be the 10th-least pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.0% pass rate.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

Dalton Schultz's 34.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 39.7.

The Browns defense has yielded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 28.0) versus TEs this year.

This year, the strong Cleveland Browns defense has conceded the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a paltry 6.6 yards.

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