Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Dalton Schultz has run a route on 76.3% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to garner 7.4 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The Cowboys have been the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.2% pass rate.
Dalton Schultz has put up quite a few less receiving yards per game (38.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).
Dalton Schultz's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 76.3% to 72.8%.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys have used play action on a lowly 23.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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