Dalton Schultz Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+329/-616).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dalton Schultz's 30.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 85th percentile for TEs.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has given their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to be much less involved in his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (18.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (27.3% in games he has played).
Dalton Schultz has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).
Dalton Schultz's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 76.3% to 64.2%.

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