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Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Dalton Schultz Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+329/-616).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Dalton Schultz's 30.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 85th percentile for TEs.
  • The Dallas Cowboys O-line has given their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to be much less involved in his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (18.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (27.3% in games he has played).
  • Dalton Schultz has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).
  • Dalton Schultz's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 76.3% to 64.2%.

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