Dalton Schultz Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Dalton Schultz

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Schultz

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving TD

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalton Schultz Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+320/-500).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.4 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Dalton Schultz to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack near the goal line this week (19.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (12.4% in games he has played).
Dalton Schultz has accrued a colossal 41.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Dallas Cowboys have used play action on a mere 23.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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