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Dalton Kincaid
NFL · Player Props
Dalton Kincaid
TE · Buffalo Bills
Receptions
Seattle Seahawks vs Buffalo Bills · Week 8, 2024 Updated Oct 27, 2024 11:21 PM EST
NFL Props Dalton Kincaid Receptions

Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+108/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -140.

Favors Over
  • In this week's game, Dalton Kincaid is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.5 targets.
  • Dalton Kincaid's 44.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 35.1.
  • The Seahawks pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (83.7%) to TEs this year (83.7%).
Favors Under
  • The Bills are an enormous 9.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 52.5% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The fewest plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 51.4 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) usually cause worse passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
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