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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-102/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 132.5 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.

Dalton Kincaid's 41.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 35.7.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.

The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been gouged for the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (79.2%) vs. TEs this year (79.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

Dalton Kincaid's receiving performance has diminished this season, accumulating a measly 2.9 adjusted receptions compared to 4.6 last season.

Dalton Kincaid's 61.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a material reduction in his pass-catching ability over last year's 81.6% mark.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

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