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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Dalton Kincaid Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

In this week's contest, Dalton Kincaid is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 81st percentile among tight ends with 5.4 targets.

Dalton Kincaid's 42.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 35.7.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bills to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.5 plays per game.

Dalton Kincaid's receiving performance has declined this year, averaging just 3.1 adjusted receptions vs 4.6 last year.

Dalton Kincaid's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 81.6% to 62.0%.

The Ravens safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

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