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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's contest, Dalton Kincaid is predicted by the projection model to secure a spot in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.2 targets.

After accumulating 36.0 air yards per game last year, Dalton Kincaid has undergone big improvement this year, now averaging 44.0 per game.

Dalton Kincaid's 44.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 35.1.

With a fantastic 39.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (84th percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid has been as one of the top pass-catching TEs in the league.

Dalton Kincaid's 6.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks a material progression in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 4.3% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see only 122.6 offensive plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.5 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

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