My Account Log Out

reorder

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Seattle Seahawks vs Buffalo Bills

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's game, Dalton Kincaid is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.5 targets.

Dalton Kincaid has accrued quite a few more air yards this season (43.0 per game) than he did last season (36.0 per game).

Dalton Kincaid's 44.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 35.1.

With a remarkable 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (86th percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid rates among the best pass-game tight ends in football.

Dalton Kincaid's talent in picking up extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, averaging 6.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 4.32 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are an enormous 9.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 52.5% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The fewest plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 51.4 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) usually cause worse passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™