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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects Dalton Kincaid to earn 5.4 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Dalton Kincaid has accrued a monstrous 38.0 air yards per game this year: 89th percentile among tight ends.

Dalton Kincaid's 43.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 35.1.

With a terrific 37.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (87th percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid stands among the leading TE receiving threats in the league.

Dalton Kincaid's ability to generate extra yardage has improved this year, notching 7.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 4.32 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Bills as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 121.2 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

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