My Account Log Out

reorder

Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-154/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

In this week's contest, Dalton Kincaid is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 81st percentile among tight ends with 5.4 targets.

As it relates to air yards, Dalton Kincaid ranks in the towering 95th percentile among TEs this year, accumulating a superb 44.0 per game.

Dalton Kincaid's 42.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 35.7.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bills to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.5 plays per game.

Dalton Kincaid's 33.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season illustrates an impressive decline in his receiving skills over last season's 42.0 mark.

Dalton Kincaid's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 81.6% to 62.0%.

This year, the imposing Baltimore Ravens pass defense has given up the 5th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing TEs: a measly 4.3 YAC.

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™