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Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Broncos defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.6 per game) this year.

In this game, Dalton Kincaid is projected by the model to land in the 89th percentile among TEs with 5.6 targets.

After totaling 38.0 air yards per game last year, Dalton Kincaid has shown good development this year, currently sitting at 45.0 per game.

Dalton Kincaid's 43.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 35.7.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Bills being a big 7.5-point favorite this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 54.9 per game on average).

Dalton Kincaid's 61.8% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 81.6% rate.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.4%) versus TEs this year (71.4%).

More Dalton Kincaid Player Props

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