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Dalton Kincaid
NFL · Player Props
Dalton Kincaid
TE · Buffalo Bills
Receiving Yards
Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 8, 2023 Updated Oct 27, 2023 12:06 AM UTC
NFL Props Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-136/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -136.

Favors Over
  • At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the league (67.7% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Bills.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • The predictive model expects Dalton Kincaid to earn 6.4 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.
  • While Dalton Kincaid has been responsible for 13.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Buffalo's passing attack in this contest at 19.0%.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
Favors Under
  • With a 9.5-point advantage, the Bills are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.9 plays on offense called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (65%) versus TEs this year (65.0%).
  • This year, the imposing Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a meager 5.3 yards.
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