Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

My Account Log Out

reorder

Dalton Kincaid

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Kincaid

TE · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.0% pass rate.
With an elite 69.6% Route% (79th percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid stands as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.
In this week's contest, Dalton Kincaid is forecasted by the projection model to slot into the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.8 targets.
The Bills O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
With a remarkable 94.0% Adjusted Catch Rate (95th percentile) this year, Dalton Kincaid has been as one of the best possession receivers in football among TEs.

Favors Under

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Dalton Kincaid has been among the bottom TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 25th percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (63.2%) to tight ends this year (63.2%).

More Dalton Kincaid Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow