Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Dalton Kincaid

NFL · Player Props

Dalton Kincaid

TE · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Dalton Kincaid Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (67.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Buffalo Bills.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Dalton Kincaid has run a route on 75.2% of his offense's passing plays this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among TEs.
In this week's game, Dalton Kincaid is predicted by the projection model to position himself in the 93rd percentile among tight ends with 5.9 targets.
Dalton Kincaid has accrued a whopping 33.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Dallas's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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