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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Philadelphia Eagles vs Cleveland Browns

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to see 131.8 total plays called: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Eagles this year (a colossal 60.5 per game on average).

The model projects Dallas Goedert to accrue 5.9 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Dallas Goedert's 47.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 38.4.

Dallas Goedert's receiving skills have improved this season, averaging 6.1 adjusted catches vs a mere 4.3 last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 54.8% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Cleveland Browns, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.6 per game) this year.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (51.3%) vs. TEs this year (51.3%).

When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Cleveland's LB corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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