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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

This week, Dallas Goedert is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 80th percentile among TEs with 6.8 targets.

Dallas Goedert's 50.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 38.4.

Dallas Goedert's 83.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a significant boost in his pass-catching ability over last season's 73.8% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call only 67.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Dallas Goedert's 3.3 adjusted catches per game this year reflects an impressive decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 4.3 figure.

More Dallas Goedert Player Props

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