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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Dallas Goedert's 48.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 38.4.

Dallas Goedert profiles as one of the leading pass-catching TEs this year, averaging an outstanding 3.9 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.

Dallas Goedert's 83.3% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a noteable improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 73.8% figure.

The Los Angeles Rams linebackers grade out as the 6th-worst LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The projections expect the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 7th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.25 seconds per play.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

This year, the imposing Rams defense has conceded a feeble 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 7th-lowest rate in football.

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