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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-141/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -141.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The 7th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Eagles this year (a monstrous 60.4 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: most in football.
  • The projections expect Dallas Goedert to garner 7.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Dallas Goedert's 46.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 38.4.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Eagles as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are predicted by the model to run just 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 6th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The Ravens safeties project as the 3rd-best group of safeties in the league this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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