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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to run 67.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
  • The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a whopping 60.2 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • This week, Dallas Goedert is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 96th percentile among tight ends with 7.3 targets.
  • With a remarkable 4.5 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert ranks among the leading TEs in the pass game in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Eagles being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.8 per game) this year.
  • Dallas Goedert has run fewer routes this season (72.1% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (87.6%).

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