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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are forecasted by the projection model to run 66.3 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The 8th-most plays in football have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a monstrous 59.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects Dallas Goedert to garner 5.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.

Dallas Goedert rates as one of the leading pass-game TEs this year, averaging an excellent 4.8 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 50.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 28.6 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

Dallas Goedert has been used less as a potential target this year (71.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (87.6%).

More Dallas Goedert Player Props

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