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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+112/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to call the 10th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game.

With an exceptional 87.6% Route Participation% (98th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert places among the TEs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

The model projects Dallas Goedert to accumulate 5.3 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

Dallas Goedert's 73.5% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 80.2% rate.

This year, the formidable Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded a puny 70.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 10th-smallest rate in the league.

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