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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-170/+130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

To the extent of a defense's impact on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 5th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

Dallas Goedert has run a route on 87.5% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs.

In this week's game, Dallas Goedert is projected by the projection model to place in the 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.3 targets.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Eagles ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

Dallas Goedert rates as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 4.2 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 88th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Eagles are overwhelmingly favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Dallas Goedert's 72.3% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 80.2% mark.

The New York Giants pass defense has given up the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (64.9%) versus tight ends this year (64.9%).

The Giants safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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