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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Eagles, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

Dallas Goedert has run a route on 86.8% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs.

In this week's game, Dallas Goedert is forecasted by the projections to finish in the 93rd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.0 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.60 seconds per play.

Opposing teams have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

Dallas Goedert's 73.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a remarkable regression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 80.2% rate.

This year, the stout Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered a mere 69.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 6th-lowest rate in football.

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 4th-best group of LBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

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