Dallas Goedert Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Dallas Goedert

NFL · Player Props

Dallas Goedert

TE · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Dallas Goedert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+160/-220).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Dallas Goedert to earn 4.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among TEs.
Dallas Goedert has been a big part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 19.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 94th percentile among TEs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Dallas Goedert has been among the best pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.5 receptions per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

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