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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

When it comes to air yards, Dallas Goedert grades out in the towering 88th percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a monstrous 36.0 per game.

Dallas Goedert's 48.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 38.4.

Dallas Goedert has been one of the leading pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an exceptional 42.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.

Dallas Goedert's 83.3% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a noteable improvement in his pass-catching talent over last season's 73.8% figure.

Dallas Goedert's pass-catching effectiveness has been refined this year, notching 9.10 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 7.30 figure last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The projections expect the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 39.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Eagles offense to be the 7th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.25 seconds per play.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.

This year, the imposing Rams defense has conceded a feeble 72.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 7th-lowest rate in football.

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