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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 6th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.40 seconds per snap.
  • Dallas Goedert has run a route on 91.2% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • The leading projections forecast Dallas Goedert to accumulate 5.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Dallas Goedert grades out in the towering 87th percentile among TEs this year, accruing a remarkable 36.0 per game.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 52.1% of their plays: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the New York Jets, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 34.6 per game) this year.
  • Dallas Goedert has accrued significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (38.0) this year than he did last year (58.0).
  • Dallas Goedert's 74.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a a substantial reduction in his receiving prowess over last year's 80.2% mark.

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