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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to call the 10th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game.
  • With an exceptional 87.6% Route Participation% (98th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert places among the TEs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.
  • The model projects Dallas Goedert to accumulate 5.3 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.
  • Dallas Goedert has notched a whopping 31.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
  • Dallas Goedert has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (45.0) this year than he did last year (58.0).
  • Dallas Goedert's 73.5% Adjusted Catch% this season signifies a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 80.2% rate.

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