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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

To the extent of a defense's impact on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 5th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

Dallas Goedert has run a route on 87.5% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs.

In this week's game, Dallas Goedert is projected by the projection model to place in the 83rd percentile when it comes to TEs with 5.3 targets.

Dallas Goedert has notched a whopping 30.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among tight ends.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Eagles ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Eagles are overwhelmingly favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Dallas Goedert's 42.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season conveys a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching skills over last season's 58.0 figure.

Dallas Goedert's 72.3% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 80.2% mark.

Dallas Goedert's receiving efficiency has tailed off this season, totaling a measly 7.22 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 10.42 rate last season.

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