Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Dallas Goedert

NFL · Player Props

Dallas Goedert

TE · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 15, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-106/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run out of all the games this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Dallas Goedert has run a route on 84.3% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among TEs.
THE BLITZ projects Dallas Goedert to notch 6.5 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: least in football.
Dallas Goedert has accrued far fewer air yards this year (31.0 per game) than he did last year (44.0 per game).
The Washington Commanders defense has yielded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 36.0) vs. TEs this year.

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