Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Dallas Goedert

NFL · Player Props

Dallas Goedert

TE · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-116/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Dallas Goedert to accrue 4.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among TEs.
Dallas Goedert has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 19.8% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 94th percentile among TEs.
Dallas Goedert has compiled a colossal 44.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among TEs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in football.

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