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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-116/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dallas Goedert to accrue 4.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among TEs.
  • Dallas Goedert has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 19.8% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 94th percentile among TEs.
  • Dallas Goedert has compiled a colossal 44.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 91st percentile among TEs.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in football.

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