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Dallas Goedert

Dallas Goedert Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Dallas Goedert Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+194/-291).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +231 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +194.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run out of all the games this week at 132.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.6 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Dallas Goedert has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 22.6% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among TEs.

Dallas Goedert's 43.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the league leaders: 96th percentile for TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a giant 11.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: least in football.

Dallas Goedert has accrued far fewer air yards this year (31.0 per game) than he did last year (44.0 per game).

The Washington Commanders pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (67.6%) to TEs this year (67.6%).

The Washington Commanders defense has given up the 3rd-least touchdowns through the air in the league to TEs: 0.11 per game this year.

More Dallas Goedert Player Props

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