My Account Log Out

reorder

Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 64.6% of their plays: the highest clip on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Cowboys to be the most pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.8% red zone pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 138.0 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.

The Cowboys have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 59.3 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas Cowboys O-line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Dak Prescott's 64.8% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a substantial decline in his passing precision over last season's 69.1% mark.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Atlanta's safety corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 6th-best in football.

More Dak Prescott Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™