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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+122/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 63.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in football near the end zone (63.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Dallas Cowboys.

The predictive model expects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

Dak Prescott's passing accuracy has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 69.1% to 64.2%.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in football vs. the 49ers defense this year (66.1% Adjusted Completion%).

The San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the 8th-fewest TDs through the air in football: 1.14 per game this year.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's LB corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

More Dak Prescott Player Props

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