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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys offensive scheme to tilt 5.7% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • Dak Prescott's 70.7% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a material progression in his throwing accuracy over last season's 65.4% figure.
  • With an impressive ratio of 1.62 per game (79th percentile), Dak Prescott ranks among the leading touchdown throwers in the league this year.
  • The New York Giants cornerbacks rank as the worst group of CBs in football this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 17.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are a heavy favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Cowboys offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 28.38 seconds per snap.
  • The leading projections forecast Dak Prescott to throw 32.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-fewest among all QBs.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

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