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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 8

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears

Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.06 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Dak Prescott has been among the top TD passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.00 per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

The Dallas Cowboys O-line has given their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Cowboys have been the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 48.7% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 33.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-least of all QBs.

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.

More Dak Prescott Player Props

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