Dak Prescott TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

TD Passes

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 11:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 137.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
Dak Prescott has been among the leading touchdown passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 1.92 per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 35.9 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has given up the 5th-least TDs through the air in football: 1.18 per game this year.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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