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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 143.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Dak Prescott has been among the best TD throwers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 1.92 per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has given up the most passing TDs in football: 1.71 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 38.0 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best CB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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