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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the league.

Dak Prescott has been among the most accurate passers in the NFL this year with a terrific 67.7% Completion%, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Dak Prescott has been among the best TD throwers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 2.00 per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in football vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year (73.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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