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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Dak Prescott has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the league this year with a stellar 67.1% Completion%, checking in at the 79th percentile.
  • Dak Prescott has been among the best touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 1.60 per game while grading out in the 76th percentile.
  • The New York Giants linebackers project as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a giant 10-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Cowboys rank as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.4% pass rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in the NFL.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 4th-lowest rate in the NFL against the New York Giants defense this year (65.4%).
  • The New York Giants defense has surrendered the 5th-least TDs through the air in football: 1.00 per game this year.

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