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Dak Prescott

Dak Prescott TD Passes
Player Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -164.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the most plays run among all games this week at 140.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Dak Prescott to attempt 40.8 passes this week, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Dak Prescott has been among the top TD throwers in football this year, averaging a stellar 1.50 per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys have been the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 57.2% pass rate.

Dak Prescott's passing precision has tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.4% to 63.0%.

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on just 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Dallas Cowboys have used play action on a lowly 23.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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