Dak Prescott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Dak Prescott

NFL · Player Props

Dak Prescott

QB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions · Week 6, 2024

Updated Oct 13, 2024 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Dak Prescott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 66.4 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.
The Cowboys have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.
With an exceptional tally of 2.45 yards-after-contact (83rd percentile), Dak Prescott has been among the best rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to run on 37.5% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
In averaging a measly 1.4 rush attempts per game this year, Dak Prescott stands among the bottom quarterbacks in football (17th percentile) as it relates to rushing workload.
Dak Prescott has been a much smaller piece of his team's ground game this season (6.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (11.7%).
Dak Prescott's 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects a noteable diminishment in his rushing proficiency over last season's 14.0 figure.

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